Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Commodity Transaction Tax to be diluted in Budget


Commodity Transaction Tax to be diluted in BudgetThe Commodities Transaction Tax is likely to be revamped in the coming budget.
Under the new system, compulsory delivery-based contract may be exempted from the tax, which means only speculative trade will attract the levy.
This tax was imposed on July 1, 2013 on the line of securities transaction tax.
It is levied at the rate of 0.01 per cent on all non-agricultural products such as gold and silver and even on processed agricultural processed products such as sugar. At this rate, tax for trade worth ₹1 lakh would be ₹10.
Volume dips

Data from the Forward Market Commission reveal that cumulative value of trade during April-May this fiscal dropped to ₹9.53 lakh crore from ₹28.16 lakh crore in the same period a year ago, a dip of 66 per cent.
“Volume has come down which is affecting fair price discovery,” SC Agarwal of SMC Securities, a Delhi-based equity and commodity trading firm, said. Traders also alleged that this tax made exchanges 350 per cent more expensive.
At the same time, non-agricultural commodity consist of over 80 per cent in total trading, which is why trade has been affected.
Though, participants want the tax to be removed completely, there are no such indications as of now.
Many market players raised the demand for doing away with the transaction tax completely before the Finance and Economic Affairs Secretary Arvind Mayaram during a conference organised by Commodity Participants Associations of India on Saturday.
Regulator’s wish list

Meanwhile, the FMC has pressed for lowering the transaction cost.
This was conveyed during Finance Minister Arun Jaitley’s meeting with all the regulators of financial sector in Mumbai few days ago.

Monday, June 16, 2014

Weekly Economic Data for the week 14-Jun-14 to 20-Jun-14


Weekly Economic Data for the week 14-Jun-14 to 20-Jun-14
Avg. change of last 1 year: Average Change in Actual data calculated for last 1 year.
Expected impact on price: This indicator shows the effect of the anticipation of data on the prices of related country’s major indices. We have categorized it as below:
Very Good Good Neutral Bad Very Bad
Actual: Refers to the actual/latest figures after its release.
Data for the week 14-Jun-14 to 20-Jun-14
Date Time (IST) Country Data Exp. Prior Exp. chg today Avg. chg of last 1 year Exp. Impact on Price
16-Jun-2014 12-00 PM India Wholesale Prices YoY 5.4% 5.2% 0.20 0.46 Neutral
16-Jun-2014 02-30 PM European Monetary Union Consumer Price Index (MoM) -0.1% 0.2% -0.30% 0.65 Neutral
16-Jun-2014 02-30 PM European Monetary Union Consumer Price Index (YoY) 0.5% 0.5% 0.00% 0.07 Neutral
16-Jun-2014 06-45 PM United States Industrial Production (MoM) 0.5% -0.6% 1.10% 0.97 Neutral
 
17 - 19 Jun-2014 -- United States Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting         Neutral
17-Jun-2014 02-00 PM United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (MoM) 0.20% 0.40% -0.20% 0.00 Neutral
17-Jun-2014 02-30 PM Germany ZEW Survey (Expectation) 35 33.1 1.90 9.00 Neutral
17-Jun-2014 02-30 PM Germany ZEW Survey - Current Situation 62.1 62.1 0.00 5.46 Neutral
17-Jun-2014 06-00 PM United States Consumer Price Index (YoY) 2% 2% 0.00% 0.25 Neutral
 
18-Jun-2014 05-20 AM Japan Bank of Japan November 20-21 meeting minutes         Neutral
18-Jun-2014 02-00 PM United Kingdom Bank of England Releases Minutes From June 4-5 Meeting         Neutral
18-Jun-2014 04-45 PM European Monetary Union Merkel, Tunisia's Jomaa Brief Reporters in Berlin         Neutral
18-Jun-2014 08-00 PM United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks change -- -2.5 2.50 3.45 Neutral
18-Jun-2014 11-30 PM United States FOMC Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25% 0.00% 0.00 Neutral
 
19-Jun-2014 -- United States Fed's Yellen Holds Press Conference After FOMC Meeting         Neutral
19-Jun-2014 08-00 PM United States EIA Natural Gas Storage change -- 107 -107.00 33.60 Neutral
 
20-Jun-2014 12-06 PM Japan BOJ Governor Kuroda Speaks at Conference in Tokyo         Neutral
20-Jun-2014 07-30 PM European Monetary Union EC - Consumer Confidence -6.5 -7.1 0.60 1.04 Neutral



Vale and Amazon Indians begin talks after threats of setting mine on fire

Vale and Amazon Indians begin talks after threats of setting mine on fire
Brazil’s Vale (NYSE:VALE) and members of the Amazon Xikrin tribe made short-term peace late Saturday after Indians blocked access to the company’s Onca Puma nickel mine in the country’s northern state of Para for two days.
According to Vale, Brazil’s largest mining company, over 400 Indians had been blocking the main entrance to Onca Puma, threatening to set it on fire if their demands were not heard.
The firm, the world's second-largest nickel producer, said in a statement quoted by AP that locals want to modify an agreement to mitigate the mine's impact on its community's development.
Negotiations over the Indians demands will resume Monday, the company added
Onca Puma began operation in 2011 and it is expected to hit 60% of its 53,000 tons of nickel annual capacity this year. In 2012, Vale faced furnace design problems, and it was forced to shut down the operation in June. Later that year, the firm had to take $2.85 billion write-down on the nickel mine.

Government mulling changes in Securities Transaction Tax and Commodities Transaction Tax

Government mulling changes in Securities Transaction Tax and Commodities Transaction Tax
The government is mulling changes in the transaction tax levied on trading in stocks and securities, a levy that is generally considered regressive and its removal can spur the markets further by lowering transactions cost and increasing liquidity. 

Although the market has been demanding a complete withdrawal of the Securities Transaction Tax (STT) and the Commodities Transaction Tax (CTT), the government may initially settle for their removal only on delivery-based trades, a senior government official hinted. 

At least two regulators — the Securities & Exchange Board of India and the Forwards Markets Commission — have also sought removal or rationalisation of these taxes. 

"Indian securities markets are being exported outside of the country and this is largely due to high transaction costs....There is a need to relook at these if the country is keen to become an attractive financial centre," the official said on condition of anonymity. However, given the country's high fiscal deficit, the government will consider the revenue implications of the proposal before taking a call. 


STT earns nearly Rs 6,000 crore revenue a year. The tax was introduced by the then finance minister P Chidambaram. In lieu, the long-term capital gains tax was abolished and the tax on short-term gains lowered. 

Market participants and commodity exchanges have pointed out that these taxes were coming in the way of markets gaining depths as as they increase transactions cost, which reduces market participation and lowers liquidity. 

In case of stocks, STT is levied at the rate of 0.1% on both the seller and the buyer. On derivatives, the tax ranges from 0.01% to 0.125% and is levied on the seller only. 

Sebi has demanded removal of STT on at least one leg of transaction, stock purchases, as also CTT on delivery-based transactions. FMC has also asked the government to remove CTT on such transactions besides on some processed foods such as coffee and guar gum. 

"Transaction taxes hurt volumes....World over, the trend has been to reduce transactions costs for market participants," the official quoted earlier said. 

CTT is levied at the rate of 0.01% of the transaction value on the seller for trading in all non-agricultural commodities such as gold, silver, crude, zinc, copper and aluminium. 
A high-level expert panel headed by senior economic advisor in the finance ministry D S Kolamkar has pitched for allowing banks, financial institutions and foreign firms participate in commodity futures trading to deepen domestic markets. 

Exchanges should explore new ideas in contract design, to more tightly define the product with a narrower set of grades and locations, so as to reduce the frictions of arbitrage and, thereby, improve hedging effectiveness wherever the movement of prices of the commodities across grades and locations are not aligned, the panel had said. 

"Commodities markets need a whole set of reforms as also reduction in transaction costs," 

Abolish CTT, restore investor confidence in commodity market

Abolish CTT, restore investor confidence in commodity market
While the stock market is expecting that Jaitley would remove STT—at least partially, a similar tax under the name of CTT implemented in commodity futures market needs to be abolished to help the industry grow.

As the Narendra Modi government gets ready to present its first national budget, there is an urgent need for the apex commodities regulator—the Forward Markets Commission (FMC)—to pitch for the abolition of Commodities Transaction Tax (CTT) and plead before Finance Minister Arun Jaitley to save the commodity futures market.
Reports in the media say that the apex stock market regulator—the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI)—officials have met with the Finance Minister to demand the removal of Securities Transaction Tax (STT). Stock exchanges and traders are hoping that abolition of STT would be a major announcement in the budget that Jaitley would present a few days from now.
Currently, an investor buying shares through a broker is charged 0.1 percent STT at the time of buying and selling. Ever since the introduction of STT a few years back, volumes in India’s two national stock exchanges—BSE and NSE—have considerably come down on account of the increased transaction costs.
SEBI, stock exchanges, brokers and investors have been complaining that transaction costs of buying and selling shares in India are huge compared to other financial markets in the world. This has hurt investor sentiments and reduced liquidity, turning Indian stock markets less attractive in the emerging markets.
While the stock market is expecting that Jaitley would remove STT—at least partially, a similar tax under the name of CTT implemented in commodity futures market needs to be abolished to help the industry grow faster and better.
Former finance minister P Chidambaram introduced CTT in commodity futures trading in last year’s budget. It was then strongly opposed by commodity exchanges, traders, brokers and investors. Commodity trading in India is just 10-year old, and the government is yet to open up the futures trading sector with the result that banks, FIIs and mutual funds are not allowed entry into commodities trading market.
In India, more than 80% of the trade volumes take place in bullion, metals and energy and hence CTT has resulted in a significant drop in trade volumes in these segments that drove commodity futures business. Unlike in stocks or agri commodities, daily movements in the above mentioned commodities are generally very low, resulting in most of the profits that a trader makes are lost in the existing charges. Bullion, metals and energy prices are closely linked to international price movements and hence trade volumes have shifted to such global exchanges as hedgers try to minimise risk in commodities trading. This could result in India losing its place of pride in the international markets- that of having one of the top gold, silver and energy online exchanges in the world.
In Indian stock markets, STT was introduced after the market matured and attained huge trading volumes while electronic trading in commodity futures were introduced only 10 years back and the sector is still suffering from growth pangs. Hence the broking community is of the view that CTT should be abolished until the market attains sufficient trade volumes and depth.
Ever since CTT was introduced, in the last one year, volumes in commodity exchanges have drastically come down. To be specific, volumes at MCX and other national commodity exchanges are just a third of what it used to be an year ago.
Commodity futures market began losing steam in July 2013 when the government introduced CTT. CTT of 0.01 per cent on the sell side on all volume commodities in bullion and metals ensured that cost of trading shot up by at least 20 per cent. Many traders and intra-day players left commodities market as CTT virtually capped any arbitrage profit booking in trading. It is therefore essential that the new government should review CTT and remove or relax the taxing burden on the market participants.
In the last few years, the government has been debating amendments to the Forward Contract Regulation Act (FCRA) under which FMC is overseeing futures trading in India. The debate has not yet translated into action, with the results that commodity trading is still a restricted sector with banks, mutual funds and foreign institutional investors out of its ambit.
It was the BJP government under former prime minister Atal Behari Vajpayee who gave approval to set up national commodity exchanges in India in 2003. Now, a decade later, a new BJP government with a massive political mandate is in chair to the rule the country. India—one of the world’s largest consumers and producers of the largest varieties of commodities including the glittering precious metal gold—needs a more vibrant commodities futures market.
FMC needs to take up with the Finance Minister on the need to abolish CTT to bring liquidity and market depth the commodity futures trading in the country.

Saturday, June 14, 2014

Bombay High Court refuses to stay MCX resolution

Bombay High Court refuses to stay MCX resolution  The Bombay High Court has refused to stay a resolution by commodity exchange MCX to amend its articles, which, if approved by its shareholders, will empower the bourse to transfer promoter Financial Technologies' shareholding in it to an escrow account and sell the same on its behalf. 

The court, which was hearing Financial Technologies (India) Ltd's plea against the resolution on Friday, said a delay in selling stake by the petitioner cannot be a reason for it to oppose a resolution to comply with the regulator's declaration of December 17. 

However, the judge gave FTIL, which said it was in the process of divesting its 24% stake in MCX, the liberty to move court if its shares are transferred to an escrow account while its stake sale exercise is on. 

The voting rights of FTIL, which holds 26% in MCX, have already been extinguished by MCX after commodity market regulator Forward Markets Commission (FMC) on December 17 declared it not 'fit and proper' to hold more than 2% stake in any commex after a Rs 5,600-crore scam hit its subsidiary National Spot Exchange Ltd (NSEL) in July last year. 
FTIL had challenged FMC's order in the high court in February but failed to get a stay on it. After being informed of this, Justice SJ Vazifdar, who was hearing FTIL's plea, said, "We must proceed that the December 17 order (of FMC) is valid as on date." On Friday, FTIL's share closed 4.9% lower on the Bombay Stock Exchange at Rs 259.45, while MCX ended 2.4% lower at Rs 565.95. 
FTIL filed a petition against MCX and FMC after the latter, on May 6, revamped shareholding norms for commexes, stating that an entity or a person declared not "fit and proper" by it could not hold any stake in a recognised commodity exchange. 

The norms, among others, also empower exchanges to ensure FMC's orders in respect of an "unfit" shareholder are complied with. On May 9, after FMC's revised norms, MCX undertook a process of amending its articles of association, which,by a three-fourths majority of voting shareholders, empower it to transfer FTIL's shares in MCX to an escrow account, and sell the same on FTIL's behalf to comply with FMC's declaration. 

Multiple commodity Exchange has sought the approval of its shareholders, including IFCI, Nabard and Blackstone, for amending the AoA through postal ballot. The results of the ballot will be declared on June 18. 

Automakers' increasing use and Alcoa, Rusal production cut may lift Aluminum

Automakers' increasing use and Alcoa, Rusal production cut may lift Aluminum

Automakers' increasing use of aluminum use and production cut from Alcoa, UC Rusal cut may boost Aluminum.
According to BMO Research, market sentiment toward aluminum has improved. The potential for better demand growth fueled by Ford’s announcement of the F-150 aluminum body, combined with producers such as Alcoa and UC Rusal announcing production cuts, has lifted prospects for the light metal.
BMO Research sees increasing use of aluminum in auto production going forward, with 20% of auto production in the United States, Europe and China seen substituting aluminum for steel, based on estimated incremental metal use in the F-150.
Production curtailments are positive but it took four years of surplus markets and weak prices. The biggest downside risk to the positive momentum is the potential for idled capacity to restart as prices improve.
BMO upped its average base-case aluminum price forecasts to 80 and 85 cents a pound this year and next, respectively, compared to 79 and 83 cents previously.
The forecast increase is weighted toward premiums, expected to remain higher for longer due to the backlog of metal at key London Metal Exchange warehouses.
BMO revised its forecast for the U.S. Midwest premium to 19 and 17 cents this year and next from 17 and 12 cents previously.