Deutsche Bank's bull case on zinc had been severely dented over the past three months.
A strong USD combined with Chinese demand fears has seen a build of shorts on the LME, and prices collapse by $800 a ton since the beginning of May.
Glencore’s bold step of closing a similar amount of capacity is likely to squeeze out short positions, and lead to a deficit market of c.500kt in 2016E.
This would be the fifth year in a row of zinc deficits, and Deutsche Bank forecasts the zinc price to recover and average $2,275 a ton in 2016E.
However, zinc prices at London Metal Exchange settled down by 0.64% to $1805.50 a ton on Thursday, while inventories down by 1050 tons to 587200 tons.
A strong USD combined with Chinese demand fears has seen a build of shorts on the LME, and prices collapse by $800 a ton since the beginning of May.
Glencore’s bold step of closing a similar amount of capacity is likely to squeeze out short positions, and lead to a deficit market of c.500kt in 2016E.
This would be the fifth year in a row of zinc deficits, and Deutsche Bank forecasts the zinc price to recover and average $2,275 a ton in 2016E.
However, zinc prices at London Metal Exchange settled down by 0.64% to $1805.50 a ton on Thursday, while inventories down by 1050 tons to 587200 tons.
- U.S. oil prices hit their highest since 2015 again on Tuesday as speculators bet on further price rises amid OPEC-led production cuts and a dip in American drilling activity, though some warned the rally could run out of steam.Commodity tips
ReplyDeleteU.S. oil prices hit their highest since 2015 again on Tuesday as speculators bet on further price rises amid OPEC-led production cuts and a dip in American drilling activity, though some warned the rally could run out of steam MRSSteel
ReplyDelete