Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Blockade at Vale’s Onça Puma nickel project in Brazil ends

A blockade at Vale’s Onça Puma nickel project in Brazil has ended after the indigenous people who had occupied the area demanding better compensation left the plant, the miner said on Monday June 16.
Blockade at Vale’s Onça Puma nickel project in Brazil endsNearly 350 indigenous people of Xikrin do Cateté had blockaded the entrance of the plant in the Brazilian state of Pará on Monday, after having occupied the area the previous week from Thursday morning until Saturday evening. "Workers exit was not blocked. Only nickel production was paralysed," federal prosecutors from Pará state said.

Shanghai copper backwardation swells in squeezed market

Shanghai copper backwardation swells in squeezed market
The backwardation on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) expanded sharply on Monday June 16, as some holders of short positions were squeezed ahead of the exchange’s June prompt date.

The outright price on the June copper contract, with delivery date of Monday, surged by some 1,590 yuan per tonne, or about 3.25%, in just the final half an hour of trading. The contract closed at 50,450 yuan per tonne, some 2,710 yuan per tonne higher than the September contract. "The large backwardation and the increase in the June contract are due to long investors squeezing the market," the head of futures at one big smelter said.



MonthOptionsChartsLastChangePrior SettleOpenHighLowVolumeHi / Low LimitUpdated
JUN 2014JUN 2014Show Price Chart3.0600+0.01303.04703.06203.06203.057520No Limit01:08:09 CT
17 Jun 2014
JUL 2014JUL 2014Show Price Chart3.0605+0.01053.05003.04803.06453.04455,479No Limit01:08:25 CT
17 Jun 2014
AUG 2014AUG 2014Show Price Chart3.0530 b+0.00603.04703.04453.06003.044015No Limit01:08:09 CT
17 Jun 2014
SEP 2014SEP 2014Show Price Chart3.0535+0.00953.04403.04403.05853.03751,389No Limit01:08:09 CT
17 Jun 2014
OCT 2014OCT 2014Show Price Chart3.0435-0.00153.04503.04353.04353.04351No Limit01:08:09 CT
17 Jun 2014
NOV 2014NOV 2014Show Price Chart3.0525+0.00853.04403.04203.05253.04206No Limit01:08:09 CT
17 Jun 2014
DEC 2014DEC 2014Show Price Chart3.0500+0.00753.04253.04003.05403.0400136No Limit01:08:09 CT
17 Jun 2014

2013 Top 10 Copper-producing Countries

2013 Top 10 Copper-producing CountriesIn terms of copper production, it’s Chile that accounts for the lion’s share of world output. However, there are still several other countries with significant operations, including neighboring Peru, as well as China, the United States and Russia. 
 
The US Geological Survey has released its most recent set of data on copper-producing countries, and Copper Investing News took a look to see which made the top 10. Below is a list of those countries, along with a little background information on each nation.
 
1. Chile

Mine production: 5,700,000 tons
 
Up first is Chile, which produced a whopping 5,700,000 tons of copper in 2013. That’s up from 5,430,000 tons in 2012. As The Economist reports, the red metal provides 20 percent of the country’s gross domestic product and accounts for 60 percent of its exports. The publication also notes that thanks to copper, Chile’s economy is expanding by 6 percent annually; it also credits the industry with the country’s low rates of inflation and unemployment.
 
2. China

Mine production: 1,650,000 tons
 
China is the closest second, producing less than half of what was put out by Chile. It recorded 1,650,000 tons of copper production in 2013, an increase from the 1,630,000 tons produced in 2012. China, the world’s largest single consumer of copper, hit record rates of production for the red metal in November 2013, according to Reuters. New production sites continued to come online through 2013 in China, increasing production at a steady rate. Additionally, importing raw copper concentrate to China is costly, causing domestic smelting operations to begin to rise.
 
3. Peru

Mine production: 1,300,000 tons
 
Peru produced 1,300,000 tons of copper in 2013, not moving much from 2012 production level. Peru This Week reported that the country’s mining production could rise by as much as 10 percent in 2014, and Peru’s energy and mines minister, Jorge Merino, has projected a 17-percent increase in copper production alone as the result of several new projects set to open in the year ahead. The country also expects more foreign investment into its mining sector as a result of these projects.
 
4. United States
Mine production: 1,220,000 tons
 
The US saw 1,220,000 tons of copper production for 2013, up slightly from its figure of 1,170,000 tons in 2012. MINING.com notes that this increase came despite a catastrophic landslide at Utah’s Bingham Canyon mine in early 2013; the incident caused it to cease production for an extended period of time. The total copper production in the US is worth more than $1 billion.
 
5. Australia

Mine production: 990,000 tons
 
In 2013, 990,000 tons of copper were produced in Australia, marking an increase from 958,000 tons in 2012. Geoscience Australia, a government agency, notes that most of the copper resources in the country are located in Queensland and South Australia, though there are resources in each state and in the Northern Territory as well. Most of the country’s production is centered in the Mount Isa region in Queensland and the Olympic Dam mine in South Australia.
 
6. Russia

Mine production: 930,000 tons
 
Russia ranks sixth, having produced 930,000 tons of copper in 2013. That level is up from 883,000 tons it produced in 2012. NASDAQ reports that Russia has about 10 percent of the world’s copper reserves, and that these deposits are located primarily in Siberia and the Urals. The vast majority of Russian copper projects are in remote regions, away from population and infrastructure, which makes mining operations relatively difficult. Additionally, the country has laws restricting the amount of foreign investment in its mineral reserves.
 
7. The Democratic Republic of the Congo

Mine production: 900,000 tons 
 
The Democratic Republic of the Congo produced 900,000 tons of copper in 2013, a significant rise from the 600,000 tons produced in the country in 2012. The International Monetary Fund believes this level of production may spur the country’s economic growth to the tune of 8.7 percent in 2014, according to Bloomberg. In 2012, the mining industry comprised more than 15 percent of the Congo’s gross domestic product, the news outlet notes.
 
8. Zambia

Mine production: 830,000 tons
 
In Zambia, 830,000 tons of copper were produced in 2013, marking an increase from 2012′s 690,000 tons. 2013 saw several new copper projects begin in Zambia, boosting production by 21 percent in the first 11 months of the year, according to The Wall Street Journal.
 
“We are at a level where most copper projects that have been in the pipeline a few years back are coming on stream,” Fredrick Bantubonse, an independent metal analyst based in Zambia, told the Journal.
 
9. Canada

Mine production: 630,000 tons
 
Canada just made it into the top 10 with 630,000 tons of copper production in 2013, up from 579,000 in 2012. Natural Resources Canada notes that copper volume and value both increased despite decreases in the metal’s price throughout the year. The organization attributes this rise to new mine openings by Glencore Xstrata (LSE:GLEN) and Hudbay Minerals (TSX:HBM) that took place in 2013.
 
10. Mexico

Mine production: 480,000 tons
 
Coming in at number 10 is Mexico, which produced 480,000 tons of copper in 2013 to clock an increase from the 440,000 tons it produced in 2012. Like other countries on the list, Mexico forecasts increases in copper production over the next two years, as per Bloomberg. However, the publication notes that copper prices will need to remain steady in order for that to occur.

Commodity Transaction Tax to be diluted in Budget


Commodity Transaction Tax to be diluted in BudgetThe Commodities Transaction Tax is likely to be revamped in the coming budget.
Under the new system, compulsory delivery-based contract may be exempted from the tax, which means only speculative trade will attract the levy.
This tax was imposed on July 1, 2013 on the line of securities transaction tax.
It is levied at the rate of 0.01 per cent on all non-agricultural products such as gold and silver and even on processed agricultural processed products such as sugar. At this rate, tax for trade worth ₹1 lakh would be ₹10.
Volume dips

Data from the Forward Market Commission reveal that cumulative value of trade during April-May this fiscal dropped to ₹9.53 lakh crore from ₹28.16 lakh crore in the same period a year ago, a dip of 66 per cent.
“Volume has come down which is affecting fair price discovery,” SC Agarwal of SMC Securities, a Delhi-based equity and commodity trading firm, said. Traders also alleged that this tax made exchanges 350 per cent more expensive.
At the same time, non-agricultural commodity consist of over 80 per cent in total trading, which is why trade has been affected.
Though, participants want the tax to be removed completely, there are no such indications as of now.
Many market players raised the demand for doing away with the transaction tax completely before the Finance and Economic Affairs Secretary Arvind Mayaram during a conference organised by Commodity Participants Associations of India on Saturday.
Regulator’s wish list

Meanwhile, the FMC has pressed for lowering the transaction cost.
This was conveyed during Finance Minister Arun Jaitley’s meeting with all the regulators of financial sector in Mumbai few days ago.

Monday, June 16, 2014

Weekly Economic Data for the week 14-Jun-14 to 20-Jun-14


Weekly Economic Data for the week 14-Jun-14 to 20-Jun-14
Avg. change of last 1 year: Average Change in Actual data calculated for last 1 year.
Expected impact on price: This indicator shows the effect of the anticipation of data on the prices of related country’s major indices. We have categorized it as below:
Very Good Good Neutral Bad Very Bad
Actual: Refers to the actual/latest figures after its release.
Data for the week 14-Jun-14 to 20-Jun-14
Date Time (IST) Country Data Exp. Prior Exp. chg today Avg. chg of last 1 year Exp. Impact on Price
16-Jun-2014 12-00 PM India Wholesale Prices YoY 5.4% 5.2% 0.20 0.46 Neutral
16-Jun-2014 02-30 PM European Monetary Union Consumer Price Index (MoM) -0.1% 0.2% -0.30% 0.65 Neutral
16-Jun-2014 02-30 PM European Monetary Union Consumer Price Index (YoY) 0.5% 0.5% 0.00% 0.07 Neutral
16-Jun-2014 06-45 PM United States Industrial Production (MoM) 0.5% -0.6% 1.10% 0.97 Neutral
 
17 - 19 Jun-2014 -- United States Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting         Neutral
17-Jun-2014 02-00 PM United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (MoM) 0.20% 0.40% -0.20% 0.00 Neutral
17-Jun-2014 02-30 PM Germany ZEW Survey (Expectation) 35 33.1 1.90 9.00 Neutral
17-Jun-2014 02-30 PM Germany ZEW Survey - Current Situation 62.1 62.1 0.00 5.46 Neutral
17-Jun-2014 06-00 PM United States Consumer Price Index (YoY) 2% 2% 0.00% 0.25 Neutral
 
18-Jun-2014 05-20 AM Japan Bank of Japan November 20-21 meeting minutes         Neutral
18-Jun-2014 02-00 PM United Kingdom Bank of England Releases Minutes From June 4-5 Meeting         Neutral
18-Jun-2014 04-45 PM European Monetary Union Merkel, Tunisia's Jomaa Brief Reporters in Berlin         Neutral
18-Jun-2014 08-00 PM United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks change -- -2.5 2.50 3.45 Neutral
18-Jun-2014 11-30 PM United States FOMC Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25% 0.00% 0.00 Neutral
 
19-Jun-2014 -- United States Fed's Yellen Holds Press Conference After FOMC Meeting         Neutral
19-Jun-2014 08-00 PM United States EIA Natural Gas Storage change -- 107 -107.00 33.60 Neutral
 
20-Jun-2014 12-06 PM Japan BOJ Governor Kuroda Speaks at Conference in Tokyo         Neutral
20-Jun-2014 07-30 PM European Monetary Union EC - Consumer Confidence -6.5 -7.1 0.60 1.04 Neutral



Vale and Amazon Indians begin talks after threats of setting mine on fire

Vale and Amazon Indians begin talks after threats of setting mine on fire
Brazil’s Vale (NYSE:VALE) and members of the Amazon Xikrin tribe made short-term peace late Saturday after Indians blocked access to the company’s Onca Puma nickel mine in the country’s northern state of Para for two days.
According to Vale, Brazil’s largest mining company, over 400 Indians had been blocking the main entrance to Onca Puma, threatening to set it on fire if their demands were not heard.
The firm, the world's second-largest nickel producer, said in a statement quoted by AP that locals want to modify an agreement to mitigate the mine's impact on its community's development.
Negotiations over the Indians demands will resume Monday, the company added
Onca Puma began operation in 2011 and it is expected to hit 60% of its 53,000 tons of nickel annual capacity this year. In 2012, Vale faced furnace design problems, and it was forced to shut down the operation in June. Later that year, the firm had to take $2.85 billion write-down on the nickel mine.