Tuesday, June 3, 2014

Chinese Port Stops Metal Shipments Due to Probe - Trade Sources

Chinese Port Stops Metal Shipments Due to Probe - Trade Sources
China's northeastern port of Qingdao has halted shipments of aluminium and copper due to an investigation by authorities, causing concern among bankers and trade houses financing the metals, trading and warehousing sources said on Monday.
Port authorities could not immediately be reached for comment. China has a public holiday on Monday.
"We were told we can’t ship any material out while they do this investigation," a source at a trading house said.
The port of Qingdao is China's third-largest foreign trade port and the world's seventh-largest port, trading with 700 ports in more than 180 countries, according to its website (http://www.qdport.com/).
"Banks are worried about their exposure," one warehousing source in Singapore said.
"There is a scramble for people to head down there at the minute and make sure that their metal that they think is covered by a warehouse receipt actually exists," he said.
Metal imports have been partly driven in China as a means to raise finance, where traders can pledge metal as collateral to obtain better terms. In some cases the same shipment can be pledged to more than one bank, fuelling hot money inflows and spurring a clampdown by Chinese authorities.
"It appears there is a discrepancy in metal that should be there and metal that is actually there," said another source at a warehouse company with operations at the port.
"We hear the discrepancy is 80,000 tonnes of aluminium and 20,000 tonnes of copper, but we hear that the volumes will actually be higher. It’s either missing or it was never there – there have been triple issuing of documentation," he said.
Beijing last year set new rules to curb currency speculation amid signs that hot money inflows helped push the yuan to a series of record highs. The rules required banks to tighten the management of their foreign exchange lending and types of clients that are able to access those loans.
"It’s such a massive port I would think virtually everybody has exposure," the trading source said.
"Once the investigation is over, it could be bearish for metals. I think that a lot of Western banks will try to offload material and try not to deal with Chinese merchants," the trading source added.

Chinese customs releases nickel import statistics for April '14


The Chinese customs authorities have released the export and import statistics for the month of April this year.
Chinese customs releases nickel import statistics for April '14According to the data, the total imports of unwrought Nickel amounted to 16,250.8 mt during the month. The largest exporter of unwrought nickel to the country was Russia. The imports from Russia totaled 8,435.4 mt, accounting for more than 50% of the total imports by the country during the month. In second place was Finland with 2,024.8 mt, followed by Canada with 1,773.5 mt. The unwrought nickel imports during the initial four month period of the year totaled 54,393.8 mt.
Meanwhile, the imports of Nickel Matte,Oxde and Sinter during April ’14 totaled 35,342 mt.
The imports of Ferro-Nickel totaled 29,903.9 mt during the month. The largest exporter of Ferro-Nickel to the country was Colombia. The imports from Colombia totaled 9,494.4 mt, accounting for more than one-third of the total imports by the country during the month. In second place was Japan with 7,854.4 mt. The Ferro-Nickel imports during the Jan-Apr period this year totaled 104,765.2 mt.
The imports of Nickel ore and concentrates by China during April ’14 totaled 2.225 Million mt.The imports from Philippines topped the list. The Chinese imports from Philippines totaled 1.835 Million mt during the month.In second place was Indonesia with 298,948 mt. The cumulative Nickel Ore and concentrate imports by China during the initial four months of the year totaled 15.362 Million mt.

Monday, June 2, 2014

Strong Rumours P-Notes from Mauritius will be TAXED in India

Strong Rumours P-Notes from Mauritius will be TAXED in India
Strong Rumours P-Notes from Mauritius will be TAXED in India
Hearing from Mumbai & Calcutta :











P-Notes from Mauritius will be TAXED in India to Stop Black Money Circulation !

Some Top People saying P-Notes will be banned Completely 
Can See this Announcement in coming Budget !
Watch : Wednesday or Thursday … Nifty Will Hit TOP and Slide will start !

The Best And Worst Performing Assets In May

If April was supposed to be the best month of the year only to leave everyone scarred, bruised and battered, another confirmation that in the Fed's New Normal all the folksy old aphorisms no longer work came with the last trading day in May when we learned that the old adage of "sell in May and go away" has not yet paid off with broad gains for most asset classes in the past month. Equities, Rates, Credit and EM were all generally stronger. Commodities delivered the key underperformance largely led by a sell-off in softs and precious metals.
And while the best performer in May was by far the Russian stock market (which may have crushed Jay Carney's hopes for a macro hedge fund career in his post-White House life), the highlight has certainly been the global rally in DM rates. Indeed the global rally saw nearly all (except for Denmark, Iceland and Greece) the 10-year yields of developed government bond markets finish the month lower.
The Best And Worst Performing Assets In May

Other observations on the past month's performance from Deutsche:
The strong performance in US rates has definitely provided a boost to EM and spread products across the world. This has trumped good or bad data/fundamentals as the driver of assets in the last few weeks. Having said that, a strong election outcome in India and some emergence of stability in the Russia/Ukraine stand-off were also helpful for EM sentiment. EM bonds were up nearly 2.5% in May bringing their YTD gains to 5%.

Away from EM fixed income, DM spread products also did well with positive total returns seen across IG and HY indices on both sides of the Atlantic. Given the performance in rates, IG has generally outperformed HY but much of this is due to the longer duration of IG indices. It’s worth noting that European and US IG/HY credit benchmarks have yet to have a negative month so far this year.

Turning to equities, the MSCI EM equity index added 3.5% in May. The ongoing market chatter around Chinese stimulus has also helped sentiment in the Hang Seng (+5.4%), which posted its best gains in 8 months. Staying in the region, Japan’s Nikkei (+2.3% in May) also enjoyed its best month this year although the index is still down 9.4% YTD. Away from Asian equities, the S&P 500, the DAX, and the Stoxx600 all recorded their best performance since February although overall European markets (especially the peripherals) are still outperforming their American counterparts so far this year.

Soft commodities were the worst performers in May largely driven by an improving supply outlook for grains. Wheat (-12%) posted its worst monthly drop since 2011 as better rainfall across the Great Plains in the US has apparently improved crop conditions. Away from softs, WTI Oil (+3.0%) and Copper (+3.1%) have been doing better though with the latter posting its best monthly performance this year on talks of Chinese stimulus. Let’s see if we see further momentum on the back of the better-than-expected Chinese manufacturing PMI print that was released over the weekend!
Looking at returns YTD:
YTD gains (including dividends) for the Stoxx600 and the S&P 500 are 7% and 5% respectively. These performances are being overshadowed by gains in Portugal, Ireland, Italy and Spain which are up by +13%, +9%, +16% and +11%, respectively this year.  Overall it has been a pretty good ride for Fixed Income so far this year, across both rates and credit, with total returns in DM credit ranging between as low as 3.3% (USD Fin Senior) to as high as +7.9% (Spanish bonds).
And visually:
The Best And Worst Performing Assets In May

Chinese smelters to soon restart 500,000 tonnes aluminum capacities

The rebounded aluminum prices and anticipated government incentives by provincial government have led to some smelters restarting some of the idled capacities.
According to analysts, the decision by the smelters is likely to weigh heavy on domestic aluminum prices in China. This may also boost exports of primary aluminum and other products from the country, which in turn may exert pressure on the international prices too.
Earlier, the country had faced severe oversupply crisis. The domestic prices of aluminum had dropped to five-year lows. This had forced many aluminum majors to cut down production by idling high-cost capacities. As per Antaike estimates nearly 2 million tonnes of aluminum smelting capacity were idled in China during the past five to six months. The country’s annual operating capacity as on December 2013 was reported at 23 million tons.
According to industry sources, nearly one-fourth of the closed 2 million tonnes of closed facility is likely to start functioning during the forthcoming months. Estimates provided by Antaike also suggest that approximately 500,000 tonnes of smelting capacity is likely to be restarted soon.
However, the production of primary alumina may be adversely hit due to shortage of bauxite. The ban on ore exports by Indonesia may curtail the production of primary alumina.

Weekly Economic Data for the week 31-May-14 to 06-Jun-14

Weekly Economic Data for the week 31-May-14 to 06-Jun-14
Expected impact on price: This indicator shows the effect of the anticipation of data on the prices of related country’s major indices. We have categorized it as below:
Very Good Good Neutral Bad Very Bad
Actual: Refers to the actual/latest figures after its release.
Data for the week 31-May-14 to 06-Jun-14
Date Time (IST) Country Data Exp. Prior Exp. chg today Avg. chg of last 1 year Exp. Impact on Price
02-Jun-2014 07-30 PM United States ISM Manufacturing PMI 55.5 54.9 0.60 1.35 Neutral
 
03-Jun-2014 11-00 AM India RBI Cash Reserve Ratio 4.0% 4.0% 0.00% 0.03 Neutral
03-Jun-2014 11-00 AM India RBI Repurchase Rate 8% 8% 0.00% 0.16 Neutral
03-Jun-2014 11-00 AM India RBI Reverse Repo Rate 7% 7% 0.00% 0.16 Neutral
03-Jun-2014 11-30 AM United Kingdom Nationwide Housing Prices PX (MoM) 0.6% 1.2% -0.60% 0.00 Neutral
03-Jun-2014 02-30 PM European Monetary Union Unemployment Rate 11.8% 11.8% 0.00% 0.12 Neutral
 
04-Jun-2014 10-30 AM India HSBC India Services PMI - 48.5 -48.50  
04-Jun-2014 06-00 PM United States Trade Balance -40.6B -40.4B -0.20% 3.21 Neutral
04-Jun-2014 08-00 PM United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks change -- 1.6 -1.60 3.45  
 
05-Jun-2014 07-15 AM China HSBC China Services PMI   51.4   1.41  
05-Jun-2014 07-15 AM China HSBC Composite PMI   49.5   0.97  
05-Jun-2014 04-30 PM United Kingdom Bank of England Bank Rate 0.5% 0.5% 0.00 0.00 Neutral
05-Jun-2014 05-15 PM European Monetary Union ECB Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.25% -0.15% 0.07 Good
05-Jun-2014 08-00 PM United States EIA Natural Gas Storage change -- 114 -114.00 33.60  
 
06-Jun-2014 11-30 AM Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) 0.40% -0.50% 0.90% 2.36 Neutral
06-Jun-2014 06-00 PM United States Nonfarm Payrolls 215K 288K -73.00 43.00 Good
06-Jun-2014 06-00 PM United States Unemployment Rate 6.40% 6.30% 0.10% 0.13 Neutral