Weekly Economic Data for the week 05-May-14 to 09-May-14

Data for the week 03-May-14 to 09-May-14

Date	Time (IST)	Country	Data	Exp.	Prior	Exp. chg today	Avg. chg of last 1 year	Exp. Impact on Price
5-May-2014	07-15 AM	China	HSBC China Manufacturing PMI	48.4	48.3	0.10	0.97	Neutral
05-May-2014	02-30 PM	European Monetary Union	Producer Price Index (MoM)	0.20%	-0.20%	0.00%	0.45	Neutral
05-May-2014	02-30 PM	European Monetary Union	Producer Price Index (YoY)	-1.7%	-1.7%	0.00%	0.45	Neutral
06-May-2014	10-00 AM	Australia	RBA Cash Rate Target	2.5%	2.5%	0.00%	0.05	Neutral
06-May-2014	10-30 AM	India	HSBC India Services PMI	-	47.5			Neutral
06-May-2014	10-30 AM	India	HSBC India Composite PMI		48.9			Neutral
06-May-2014	06-00 PM	United States	Trade Balance	-40B	-42.3B	2.30$	3.21	Neutral
07-May-2014	07-15 AM	China	HSBC China Services PMI		51.9		1.41	Neutral
07-May-2014	07-15 AM	China	HSBC Composite PMI		49.3		0.97	Neutral
07-May-2014	08-00 PM	United States	EIA Crude Oil Stocks change	-	1.69	-1.69	3.45	Neutral
07-May-2014	09-30 PM	Germany	Merkel Gives Speech at History Event in Berlin					Neutral
08-May-2014	--	China	Imports (YoY)	-2.3%	-11.3%	9.00%	6.92	Neutral
08-May-2014	--	China	Exports (YoY)	-3.5%	-6.6%	3.10%	5.65	Neutral
08-May-2014	--	China	Trade Balance	18.8B	7.71B	11.09	13.34	Neutral
08-May-2014	11-30 AM	Germany	Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)	0.20%	0.40%	-0.20%	2.36	Neutral
08-May-2014	04-30 PM	United Kingdom	Bank of England Bank Rate	0.5%	0.5%	0.00	0.00	Neutral
08-May-2014	05-15 PM	European Monetary Union	ECB Interest Rate Decision	0.25%	0.25%	0.00%	0.07	Neutral
08-May-2014	6-00 PM	European Monetary Union	ECB'S Draghi Holds Press Conference After Rate Decision					Neutral
08-May-2014	07-00 PM	United States	Fed's Yellen Testifies on Economy to Senate Budget Committee					Neutral
08-May-2014	08-00 PM	United States	EIA Natural Gas Storage change	-	82	-82.00	33.60	Neutral
09-15 May-2014	--	India	Exports YoY		-3.2%		4.06	Neutral
09-May-2014	07-00 AM	China	Consumer Price Index (YoY)	2.1%	2.3%	-0.30%	0.43	Neutral
09-May-2014	07-00 AM	China	Producer Price Index (YoY)	-1.8%	-2.3%	0.50%	0.61	Neutral
09-May-2014	02-00 PM	United Kingdom	Industrial Production (MoM)	-0.2%	0.9%	-1.10%	1.75	Neutral

Key Events In The Coming Very Busy Week

The coming week will be busy in terms of data releases in the US

CALENDAR

Monday, April 28

• Events: ECB’s Noyer holds press conference; Debate of candidates for European Commission Presidency.
• United States | Pending Home Sales MoM (Mar): Consensus 0.70% (-10.20% yoy), previous -0.80% (-10.20% yoy)
• Italy | Consumer Confidence Index (Apr): Consensus 101.2, previous 101.7
• Sweden | Retail Sales MoM (Mar): Consensus 0.20% (2.70% yoy), previous 0.40% (2.50% yoy)
• Israel | MPC: rates are expected to remain on hold,
• Thailand | Mfg Production Index ISIC NSA YoY (Mar): Consensus -7.80%, previous -4.40%
• Turkey | Consumer Confidence Index (Apr): Previous 72.7
• Also interesting: [DM] US Dallas Fed Manuf Activity Index; UK Hometrack Housing Survey; Germany Import Prices; Sweden PPI and Trade Balance; Japan Retail Trade; Hong Kong Trae Balance [EM] Trade Balance in Colombia, Mexico and Thailand; Leading Index in China and Taiwan.

Tuesday, April 29

• Events: US SEC’s White testifies; EU’s Van Rompuy presents book on Euro crisis; IMF releases Europe Spring Regional Economic Issues Report; French Parliament votes on Hollande spending cuts.
• United States | Consumer Confidence Index (Apr): consensus 83.0, previous 82.3
• United States | S&P/CaseShiller Home Price Index NSA (Feb): Consensus 0.6%, previous 0.8%
• United States | GS Analysts Index (Apr): Previous 56.5
• Germany | GfK Consumer Confidence (May): Consensus 8.5, previous 8.5
• France | Consumer Confidence (Apr): Consensus 88, previous 88
• Germany | CPI EU Harmonized MoM (Apr P): Consensus -0.10% (1.30 yoy), previous 0.30% (0.90% yoy)
• United Kingdom | GDP QoQ (1Q A): consensus 0.90%, previous 0.70%
• Hungary | MPC: We expect another cut in rates by 10bp (from 2.60% to 2.50%). We also expect the MPC to announce the end of the easing cycle and to use non-rate tools from now on to ease financial conditions, support lending to the private sector and demand for government bonds, and to anchor the yield curve.
• Also interesting: [DM] Euro area consumer, economic, and industrial confidence; Euro area M3 Money Supply; Italy Retail Sales and Business Confidence; UK Services Output; NZ Overseas Merchandise Trade; Spain Unemployment; Germany various regional CPI; Sweden Economic Tendency Survey [EM] South Korea BoP CA; Brazil IGP-M Inflation and Bank Lending.

Wednesday, April 30

• Events: BoJ’s Kuroda press briefing after outlook report; Speeches by EU’s Van Rompuy and Barroso, former Fed Chair Bernanke.
• United States | ADP Employment Change (Apr): consensus 210K, previous 191K
• United States | Employment Cost Index (1Q): Consensus 0.50%, previous 0.50%
• United States | GDP Annualized QoQ (1Q A): consensus 1.10%, previous 2.60%
• United States | Personal Consumption (1Q A): consensus 1.90%, previous 3.30%
• United States | Chicago Purchasing Manager (Apr): consensus 56.5, previous 55.9
• United States | FOMC: Consensus expected a $10 billin reduction in monthly taper to $45 billion
• Euro area | CPI Harmonized MoM (Apr P): previous 0.50%
• Italy | CPI EU Harmonized MoM (Apr P): Consensus 0.50% (0.5% yoy), previous (r) 2.20% (0.30% yoy)
• Spain | GDP QoQ (1Q P): GS 0.30%, consensus 0.40%, previous 0.20%
• Spain | CPI EU Harmonised YoY (Apr P): Consensus 0.30%, previous -0.20%
• United Kingdom | GfK Consumer Confidence (Apr): Previous -5.0
• Japan | MPC: The BoJ is expected to keep monetary policy unchanged. In the press conference following the previous meeting, the Governor stressed that there was no need for monetary easing for now, and given that few economic data in the wake of the VAT hike have been published yet, additional easing seems unlikely.
• Japan | Industrial Production MoM (Mar P): GS 0.70%, consensus 0.50%, previous -2.30%
• Japan | Housing Starts YoY (Mar): consensus -2.90%, previous 1.00%
• Canada | GDP MoM (Feb): Consensus 0.20%, previous 0.50%
• Australia | Private Sector Credit MoM (Mar): consensus 0.40%, previous 0.40%
• New Zealand | ANZ Business Confidence (Apr): Previous 67.3
• South Korea | Industrial Production SA MoM (Mar): consensus 1.00%, previous -1.80%
• Taiwan | GDP YoY (1Q P): consensus 3.08%, previous 2.95%
• Ukraine | GDP YoY (1Q P): consensus -1.60%, previous 3.30%
• Also interesting: [DM] Germany Retail Sales and Unemployment Change; France Consumer Spending and PPI; Unemployment in Norway, and Italy; Spain CA; Switzerland KOF Leading Indicator; New Zealand Building Consents Issued; Japan vehicle production; South Korea Business Survey; Singapore Unemployment [EM] Israel unemployment; Trade Balance in Turkey, South Africa and Thailand; Mexico Bank Lending; Chile Manufacturing Index, Retail Sales, and Unemployment; Argentina Construction Activity; Colombia Unemployment.

Thursday, May 1

• Events: Speeches by Fed’s Yellen, BoE's Cunliffe.
• United States | Personal Income (Mar): consensus 0.50%, previous 0.30%
• United States | Personal Spending (Mar): consensus 0.60%, previous 0.30%
• United States | PCE Deflator MoM (Mar): consensus 0.20%, previous 0.10%
• United States | PCE Core MoM (Mar): consensus 0.20%, previous 0.10%
• United States | Construction Spending MoM (Mar): consensus 0.60%, previous 0.10%
• United States | ISM Manufacturing (Apr): consensus 54.2, previous 53.7
• United States | Domestic Vehicle Sales (Apr): consensus 12.80M, previous 12.78M
• United Kingdom | Mortgage Approvals (Mar): Consensus 72.0K, previous 70.3K
• United Kingdom | Markit UK PMI Manufacturing SA (Apr): Consensus 55.4, previous 55.3
• China | Manufacturing PMI (Apr): consensus 50.4, previous 50.3
• South Korea | CPI YoY (Apr): consensus 1.50%, previous 1.30%
• South Korea | Exports YoY (Apr): consensus 5.00%, previous (r) 5.10%
• Thailand | CPI YoY (Apr): Consensus 2.30% (0.26% mom), previous 2.11% (0.22% mom)
• Peru | CPI MoM (Apr): consensus 0.28% (3.40% yoy), previous 0.52% (3.38% yoy)
• Also interesting: [DM] UK Nationwide House Prices; Australia RP Data House Prices and Commodity Index; Denmark Unemployment and Danish PMI Survey [EM] South Korea Trade Balance.

Friday, May 2

• Events: Speech by EU’s Barroso; Norway sovereign debt rating published by Fitch, S&P.
• United States | Change in Nonfarm Payrolls (Apr): GS 220K, consensus 215K, previous 192K
• United States | Unemployment Rate (Apr): GS 6.60%, consensus 6.60%, previous 6.70%
• United States | Change in Private Payrolls (Apr): GS 215K, consensus 210K, previous 192K
• United States | Average Hourly Earnings MoM (Apr): GS 0.20%, consensus 0.20%, previous 0.00%
• Euro area | Unemployment Rate (Mar): Consensus 11.90%, previous 11.90%
• Euro area | Markit EU Manufacturing PMI (Apr): Previous 53.4
• United Kingdom | Markit/CIPS UK Construction PMI (Apr): Consensus 62.2, previous 62.5
• Japan | Overall Household Spending YoY (Mar): GS 1.00%, consensus 1.70%, previous -2.50%
• South Korea | HSBC South Korea Manufacturing PMI (Apr): Previous 50.4
• Indonesia | CPI YoY (Apr): Consensus 7.28% (0.05% mom), previous 7.32% (0.08% mom)
• India | HSBC India Manufacturing PMI (Apr): Previous 51.3
• Also interesting: [DM] US Factory Orders and ISM New York; PMI Manufacturing in France, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland; Japan Unemployment; Australia HIA New Home Sales; Australia PPI; New Zealand ANZ Commodity Prices; Hong Kong Retail Sales [EM] PMI Manufacturing in Brazil, Czech Republic, Hungary, Indonesia, Mexico (HSBC and IMEF), Poland, Taiwan, Turkey, and South Africa (Kagiso); Mexico Worker Remittances; Trade Balance in Brazil and Indonesia

Source: Goldman, BofA

Weekly Economic Data for the week 19-Apr-14 to 25-Apr-14

Investors pay close attention to the announcement of these events because of the high probability that it will affect the direction of the market. You can get the same Economic Calendar at https://www.dynamiclevels.com/economic-calendar.

Exp.:	Expected or Anticipated value calculated from the recent survey conducted.
Prior:	Represents the last actual for each indicator. In case there is a revision to the last actual, the prior column reflects the prior figure as revised.
Exp. change today:	Exp. - Prior
Avg. change of last 1 year:	Average Change in Actual data calculated for last 1 year.
Expected impact on price:	This indicator shows the effect of the anticipation of data on the prices of related country’s major indices. We have categorized it as below: Very Good Good Neutral Bad Very Bad
Actual:	Refers to the actual/latest figures after its release.

Data for the week 19-Apr-14 to 25-Apr-14

Date	Time (IST)	Country	Data	Exp.	Prior	Exp. chg today	Avg. chg of last 1 year	Exp. Impact on Price
22-Apr-2014	07-30 PM	United States	Existing Home Sales	4.55M	4.60M	-0.05M	0.16	Neutral
22-Apr-2014	07-30 PM	European Monetary Union	EC - Consumer Confidence	-9.30	-9.30	0.00	1.04	Neutral
23-Apr-2014	07-15 AM	China	HSBC China Manufacturing PMI	48.3	48.0	0.30	0.97	Neutral
23-Apr-2014	02-00 PM	United Kingdom	Bank of England Minutes
23-Apr-2014	04-30 PM	United States	MBA Mortgage Applications		4.30%		7.79	Neutral
23-Apr-2014	07-15 PM	United States	Markit US Manufacturing PMI	56.0	55.5	0.50	1.15	Neutral
23-Apr-2014	07-30 PM	United States	US-New Home Sales	0.45M	0.44M	0.01	0.01	Neutral
23-Apr-2014	08-00 PM	United States	EIA Crude Oil Stocks change		10.013		3.45	Neutral
24-25 Apr-2014	-	European Monetary Union	EC - ECB's Draghi, Knot, Nouy to Attend Dutch Central Bank Conf.
24-Apr-2014	07-30 AM	China	CB March Leading Economic Index	-	-	0.00	0.76	Neutral
24-Apr-2014	01-30 PM	Germany	IFO - Business Climate	110.4	110.7	-0.30	0.00	Neutral
24-Aprr-2014	2-30 PM	European Monetary Union	ECB President Mario Draghi Speaks in Amsterdam
24-Apr-2014	06-00 PM	United States	US-Initial Jobless Claims	315K	304K	11.00	14.63	Neutral
24-Apr-2014	06-00 PM	United States	US-Durable Goods Orders	2.00%	2.20%	-0.20%	6.72	Neutral
24-Apr-2014	08-00 PM	United States	EIA Natural Gas Storage change		24.00		33.60	Neutral
25-Apr-2014	07-25 PM	United States	Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index	83	82.6	0.40	2.48	Neutral

Data for the week 12-Apr-14 to 18-Apr-14

Investors pay close attention to the announcement of these events because of the high probability that it will affect the direction of the market. You can get the same Economic Calendar at https://www.dynamiclevels.com/economic-calendar.

Exp.:	Expected or Anticipated value calculated from the recent survey conducted.
Prior:	Represents the last actual for each indicator. In case there is a revision to the last actual, the prior column reflects the prior figure as revised.
Exp. change today:	Exp. - Prior
Avg. change of last 1 year:	Average Change in Actual data calculated for last 1 year.
Expected impact on price:	This indicator shows the effect of the anticipation of data on the prices of related country’s major indices. We have categorized it as below: Very Good Good Neutral Bad Very Bad
Actual:	Refers to the actual/latest figures after its release.

Data for the week 12-Apr-14 to 18-Apr-14

Date	Time (IST)	Country	Data	Exp.	Prior	Exp. chg today	Avg. chg of last 1 year	Exp. Impact on Price
12-15 Apr-2014	--	China	Money Supply M2 YoY	13.0%	13.3%	-0.30	0.71	Neutral
12-Apr-2014	9-30 PM	European Monetary Union	ECB'S Draghi Holds Press Conference In Washington
14-Apr-2014	02-30 PM	European Monetary Union	Industrial Production w.d.a. (YoY)	1.5%	2.10%	-0.60%	0.59	Neutral
14-Apr-2014	06-00 PM	United States	Retail Sales (MoM)	0.9%	0.3%	0.60%	0.63	Neutral
10-15 Apr-2014	--	China	Money Supply M2 YoY	13.0%	13.3%	-0.30	0.71	Neutral
15-Apr-2014	07-00 AM	Australia	RBA Meeting - April Minutes					Neutral
15-Apr-2014	12-00 PM	India	Wholesale Prices YoY	5.3%	4.68%	0.62	0.46	Bad
15-Apr-2014	02-00 PM	United Kingdom	Consumer Price Index (MoM)	0.20%	0.50%	-0.30%	0.00	Very Good
15-Apr-2014	02-30 PM	Germany	ZEW Survey - Current Situation	51.5	51.3	0.20	5.46	Neutral
15-Apr-2014	02-30 PM	Germany	ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment	45	46.6	-1.60	12.25	Neutral
15-Apr-2014	02-30 PM	European Monetary Union	Trade Balance s.a.	€15.0B	€14.1B	0.90€	2.05	Neutral
15-Apr-2014	06-00 PM	United States	Consumer Price Index (MoM)	0.10%	0.10%	0.00%	0.26	Neutral
15-Apr-2014	06-00 PM	United States	Consumer Price Index (YoY)	1.4%	1.1%	0.30%	0.25	Neutral
15-Apr-2014	06-15 PM	United States	Fed's Yellen to Speak by Video to Financial Markets Conference					Neutral
16-Apr-2014	07-30 AM	China	Gross Domestic Product (YoY)	7.3%	7.7%	-0.40%	0.48	Neutral
16-Apr-2014	07-30 AM	China	Industrial Production (YoY)	9.0%	0.0%	9.00%	0.67	Neutral
16-Apr-2014	07-30 AM	China	Retail Sales (YoY)	12.2%	0%	12.20%	0.78	Neutral
16-Apr-2014	02-00 PM	United Kingdom	ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)	7.1%	7.2%	-0.10%	0.07	Good
16-Apr-2014	02-30 PM	European Monetary Union	Consumer Price Index (MoM)	1.0%	0.3%	0.70%	0.65	Bad
16-Apr-2014	02-30 PM	European Monetary Union	Consumer Price Index (YoY)	0.5%	0.5%	0.00%	0.07	Neutral
16-Apr-2014	06-45 PM	United States	Industrial Production (MoM)	0.5%	0.6%	-0.10%	0.97	Neutral
16-Apr-2014	07-30 PM	Canada	Bank of Canada Rate Decision	1%	1%	0.00	0.00	Neutral
16-Apr-2014	08-00 PM	United States	EIA Crude Oil Stocks change	--	4.030	-4.03	3.45	Neutral
16-Apr-2014	09-55 PM	United States	Fed's Yellen Speaks to Economic Club of New York					Neutral
17-Apr-2014	06-00 PM	United States	Initial Jobless Claims	310K	300K	10.00	14.63	Neutral
17-Apr-2014	08-00 PM	United States	EIA Natural Gas Storage change	--	4.00	-4.00	33.60	Neutral

April 2014 Important Data And Holidays

Weekly Economic Data for the week 29-Mar-14 to 04-Apr-14

You can get the same Economic Calendar at https://www.dynamiclevels.com/economic-calendar.

Exp.:	Expected or Anticipated value calculated from the recent survey conducted.
Prior:	Represents the last actual for each indicator. In case there is a revision to the last actual, the prior column reflects the prior figure as revised.
Exp. change today:	Exp. - Prior
Avg. change of last 1 year:	Average Change in Actual data calculated for last 1 year.
Expected impact on price:	This indicator shows the effect of the anticipation of data on the prices of related country’s major indices. We have categorized it as below: Very Good Good Neutral Bad Very Bad
Actual:	Refers to the actual/latest figures after its release.

Data for the week 29-Mar-14 to 04-Apr-14

Date	Time (IST)	Country	Data	Exp.	Prior	Exp. chg today	Avg. chg of last 1 year	Exp. Impact on Price
31-Mar-2014	04-00 PM	India	Fiscal Deficit INR Crore	-	16452	-16,452.00
31-Mar-2014	07-25 PM	United States	Fed's Yellen Speaks at Development Conference in Chicago
01-02 Apr-2014	-	European Monetary Union	EU Finance Ministers, Central Bankers Meet in Athens
01-Apr-2014	06-30 AM	China	NBS Manufacturing PMI	50.1	50.2	-0.10	0.77	Neutral
01-Apr-2014	07-15 AM	China	HSBC Manufacturing PMI	48.1	48.1	0.00	0.97	Neutral
01-Apr-2014	09-00 AM	Australia	RBA Cash Rate Target	2.5%	2.5%	0.00%	0.05	Neutral
01-Apr-2014	10-30 AM	India	HSBC India Manufacturing PMI	-	52.5	-52.50
01-Apr-2014	11-00 AM	India	RBI Cash Reserve Ratio	4.0%	4.0%	0.00%	0.03	Neutral
01-Apr-2014	11-00 AM	India	RBI Repurchase Rate	8%	8%	0.00%	0.16	Neutral
01-Apr-2014	11-00 AM	India	RBI Reverse Repo Rate	7%	7%	0.00%	0.16	Neutral
01-Apr-2014	02-00 PM	United Kingdom	BoE Releases Financial Policy Committee Minutes From March 19
01-Apr-2014	02-30 PM	European Monetary Union	Unemployment Rate	12%	12%	0.00%	0.07	Neutral
01-Apr-2014	07-30 PM	United States	ISM Manufacturing PMI	54	53.2	0.80	1.35	Neutral
02-Apr-2014	11-30 PM	United Kingdom	Nationwide Housing Prices PX (MoM)	0.8%	0.6%	0.20%	0.00	Neutral
02-Apr-2014	02-30 PM	European Monetary Union	Producer Price Index (MoM)	0.00%	-0.30%	0.30%	0.45	Neutral
02-Apr-2014	02-30 PM	European Monetary Union	Producer Price Index (YoY)	-1.6%	-1.4%	-0.20%	0.45	Neutral
02-Apr-2014	08-00 PM	United States	EIA Crude Oil Stocks change		6.619		3.45
03-Apr-2014	07-15 AM	China	HSBC China Services PMI		51		1.41
03-Apr-2014	07-15 PM	China	HSBC China Composite PMI
03-Apr-2014	10-30 AM	India	HSBC India Services PMI	-	48.8	-48.80
03-Apr-2014	05-15 PM	European Monetary Union	ECB Interest Rate Decision	0.25%	0.25%	0.00%	0.07	Neutral
03-Apr-2014	06-00 PM	United States	Trade Balance	$-38.5B	$-39.1B	0.60$	3.21	Neutral
03-Apr-2014	08-00 PM	European Monetary Union	ECB'S Draghi Holds Press Conference After Rate Decision
03-Apr-2014	07-30 PM	European Monetary Union	ECB's Draghi Speaks in Frankfurt
03-Apr-2014	08-00 PM	United States	EIA Natural Gas Storage change		-57		33.60
04-Apr-2014	06-00 PM	United States	Nonfarm Payrolls	200K	175K	25.00	43.00	Neutral
04-Apr-2014	06-00 PM	United States	Unemployment Rate	6.60%	6.70%	-0.10%	0.13	Neutral