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Saturday, October 4, 2014
US Stock Market 7 Year Cycle of Boom and Bust
Large numbers of people believe that an economic crash is coming next year based stock crash images-1 on a 7-year cycle of economic crashes that goes all the way back to the Great Depression. Such a premise is very controversial – some of you will love it, and some of you will think that it is utter rubbish – so I just present the bare bone facts below for you decide for yourself if it is something to seriously consider protecting yourself from in 2015.
As can be seen below economic crashes of one kind or another occur approximately every 7 years going all the way back to the Great Depression.
2008 :Lehman Brothers collapsed, the stock market crashed and we were plunged into the worst recession that we have experienced as a nation since the Great Depression.
2001: The dotcom bubble burst, there was a year of recession for the U.S. economy, big trouble for stocks and that little event known as “9/11″ happened that year.
1994: Yields on 30-year Treasuries jumped some 200 basis points in the first nine months of the year, hammering investors and financial firms, not to mention thrusting Mexico into crisis and bankrupting Orange County.
1987:The stock market plummeted 25% on “Black Monday” on September 27th of that year – the greatest one day stock market crash in U.S. history up until that time (surpassed by the massive stock market crash of September 29, 2008).
1980:In 1980, the S&L crisis was blooming and everyone was talking about the “stagflation” that we were experiencing under Jimmy Carter. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates dramatically to combat inflation, and this helped precipitate the very deep recession that we experienced early in Ronald Reagan’s first term.
1973 was the year of the Arab oil embargo, super long lines at the gas pumps, and a recession which ended up stretching all the way until 1975.
1931 Those that have studied these things say that the pattern keeps going back all the way to the Great Depression pointing out correctly point that the stock market crash which began the Great Depression was in 1929, but actually the worst year for the stock market during the Great Depression was in 1931 – and 1931 fits perfectly into the cycle.
As you can see from the above we have this pattern of economic crashes occurring approximately every 7 years so what should we make of all of this?
I am sure that some of you will dismiss this as pure coincidence and speculation, others will find it utterly fascinating, but one thing is for sure – people are going to be talking about this seven year cycle all over the Internet.